🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 15+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$51k
Liquidity
$30k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 0.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2.5+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1.5+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4.5+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5.5+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 8+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 7+ pts
98%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6.5+ pts
97%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 9+ pts
93%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 10+ pts
91%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 11+ pts
81%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 12+ pts
29%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 13+ pts
13%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 16+ pts
4%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 14+ pts
2%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
1%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2+ pts
1%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2.5+ pts
0%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
0%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
0%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
0%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
0%
Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$51k
Liquidity$30k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen