🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 9+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
0%
No
100%
No (100%)Yes (0%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17k
Liquidity
$36k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 0%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 1+ pts
100%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts
99%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 4+ pts
99%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 2+ pts
98%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 6+ pts
86%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 5+ pts
83%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 7+ pts
53%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 8+ pts
24%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 3.5+ pts
1%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 9+ pts
1%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 2+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 12+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 6+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 5+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 2.5+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 15+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 5.5+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 21+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 8+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 10+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 1.5+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 7+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 3+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 18+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 4+ pts
0%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 4.5+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17k
Liquidity$36k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen