🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 18+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$487
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 2+ pts
57%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 1+ pts
56%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 3+ pts
46%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 4+ pts
44%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 8+ pts
43%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 5+ pts
32%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 6+ pts
27%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 1+ pts
23%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 7+ pts
22%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 2+ pts
16%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 5+ pts
12%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts
11%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 4+ pts
10%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 7+ pts
8%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 9+ pts
8%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 6+ pts
6%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 15+ pts
5%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 21+ pts
5%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 12+ pts
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$487
CategoryElections
StatusOpen