Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 9+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

20%

80%

No (80%)Yes (20%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 20%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 1+ pts

100%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts

99%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 4+ pts

99%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 2+ pts

98%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 6+ pts

86%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 5+ pts

83%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 7+ pts

53%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 8+ pts

24%

Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 10+ pts

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

20%

probability of YES

Kalshi

20%Check

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$8k

Liquidity$4k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen