🗳️ Elections

Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Live
Resolves Nov 11, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$622
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 11, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$622
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen