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Will the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?

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Resolves Jul 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

34%

66%

No (66%)Yes (34%)

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Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the European Commission announces its adoption of a delegated act adding U.S. sanctions measures targeting the International Criminal Court, including Executive Order 14203, to the Annex of the EU Blocking Statute (Council Regulation (EC) No 2271/96) before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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72%

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70%

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