🗳️ Elections

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (99%)Yes (1%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.