🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 0-2%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$19k
Liquidity
$39k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 0-2%
21%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 2-4%
18%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 4-6%
14%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 6-8%
12%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, ≥8%
11%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2-4%
9%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 4-6%
4%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, ≥8%
2%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 6-8%
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$19k
Liquidity$39k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen