Human moon landing in 2026?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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