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Market Closed
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🗳️ Elections

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

Closed
Resolves Nov 4, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$113
Liquidity
$119

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 61%. Polymarket has moved down 26pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
61%
probability of YES
Polymarket
61%
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 4, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$113
Liquidity$119
CategoryElections
StatusClosed