🗳️ Elections

Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?

Live
Resolves Feb 2, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
64%
No
36%
No (36%)Yes (64%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 64%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump vetoes any bill or joint resolution between market creation and February 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A veto means the President returns a bill or joint resolution to Congress without signature, with objections, as provided in Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Constitution, or a pocket veto. A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred on the date the bill or joint resolution is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto does not take effect until after February 1, 2027. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. Veto threats, Statements of Administration Policy, and signing statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, including Congress.gov and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
64%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$21k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen