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🗳️ Elections

Will the Republican Senate margin be lower in Nebraska than Kansas?

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved down 17pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the difference between the Republican margin in the Nebraska U.S. Senate race and the Republican margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate race is below 0 as measured in the November 3, 2026 general elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
16%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen