🗳️ Elections
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the U.S. Department of Justice announces a fine or civil/criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia, or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, concerning the Groq licensing deal announced on December 24, 2025 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen