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Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Live
Resolves Nov 5, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$56k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
99%
probability of YES
Kalshi
99%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$56k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen