🗳️ Elections

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (1%)Yes (99%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 99%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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12%

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16%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

99%