🗳️ Elections
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
Live
Resolves Mar 1, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$243
Liquidity
$944
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 50%. Kalshi has moved up 36pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related Markets
Resolution
Mar 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$243
Liquidity$944
CategoryElections
StatusOpen