🎯 Other

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$17k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%. Kalshi has moved up 58pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If James Talarico's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
99%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 10, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$17k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen