🗳️ Elections

Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the 2027 state budget (loi de finances pour 2027) is enacted in France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen