Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

Related Markets