🎯 Other

Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If a Category 3 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen