🗳️ Elections
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 22%. Polymarket has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen