🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$22k
Liquidity
$32k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 35%. Polymarket has moved up 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$22k
Liquidity$32k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen