🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
55%
No
45%
No (45%)Yes (55%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$14k
Liquidity
$97k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 55%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 54
15%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 53
14%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 55
9%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 56
8%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 57
3%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Above 57
2%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14k
Liquidity$97k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen