🗳️ Elections

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ed Davey ceases to be Leader of the Liberal Democrats for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ed Davey's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen